An octopus bet in the Super Bowl is a Yes / No prop on whether any one player scores a touchdown and the two-point conversion on the same drive. It has happened once in Super Bowl history, and sportsbooks have usually priced Yes somewhere between about +900 and +1500. Super Bowl LXI is scheduled for Sunday, February 14, 2027 at SoFi Stadium in Inglewood, California, so this is a good time to understand the bet before the lines appear. (New to the term? Start with what an octopus is.)
Octopus bets in recent Super Bowls
| Game | Sportsbook | Yes | Yes implies | No | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LVII (2023) | DraftKings | +1400 | 6.7% | — | Yes: Jalen Hurts |
| LVIII (2024) | DraftKings | +1100 | 8.3% | −6000 | No |
| LVIII (2024) | BetRivers | +1150 | 8.0% | −3335 | No |
| LX (2026) | FanDuel | +900 | 10.0% | −2500 | No |
| LX (2026) | DraftKings | +1500 | 6.3% | −5000 | No |
| LX (2026) | Caesars | +1500 | 6.3% | −6000 | No |
Prices as reported by The Lines, Fantasy Life and CasinoBeats. These are past snapshots from the dates those articles were written, not current prices. Super Bowl LIX (2025) is not in the table because we did not find a price report for it. Legal Sports Report counts a single octopus across the first 60 Super Bowls, so none in LVIII through LX.
The one Super Bowl octopus
In Super Bowl LVII, Eagles quarterback Jalen Hurts ran for a 2-yard touchdown and then ran in the two-point conversion, tying the game at 35 in the fourth quarter. The Eagles still lost, 38–35. The Yes side was reported at +1400 at DraftKings before the game, which pays $140 on a $10 bet.
What has to happen for Yes to win
- A team has to go for two. Most touchdowns are followed by an extra-point kick. Teams usually try the conversion when the score and the clock make it worth it, often late in a game they are trailing.
- The same player has to score both plays. A touchdown pass followed by a conversion pass to a different receiver does not count.
- It has to happen on the same drive, which in practice means the two plays in a row.
That is a narrow path, and it is why the market treats Yes as a long shot even in a game with a lot of scoring.
Reading the price against the history
The Yes prices in the table imply a chance of 6.3% to 10.0%. History says: one octopus in 60 Super Bowls (about 1.7%), against roughly 3.4% of regular-season games in one count. Prices sit above both. That is common for novelty props, since the book’s margin is built into them, but it also comes with a warning: sixty Super Bowls is a small sample, and one event can’t pin down a rate.
Shopping the same bet across books
For Super Bowl LX, the same Yes bet was +900 at FanDuel and +1500 at DraftKings and Caesars. That is a $60 difference in profit on a $10 bet if it hits. The No side ran the other way, with −2500 at FanDuel paying more per dollar than −5000 or −6000 elsewhere. Which book has the best price depends on the side you take, so check both sides at several books. Our odds board compares prices across sportsbooks for the markets it carries, so you can see the gap at a glance.
A note on long shots
Novelty props are fun, but a bet that wins about once in every few dozen games will lose most of the time. Keep stakes small, treat it as entertainment, and don’t chase it with a bigger bet on the next game.
Super Bowl LXI date and venue from NBC Sports Boston. Prices, counts and results as reported by the outlets linked above; OctopusOdds has not independently verified them. Past results don’t predict any game.
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